Papers

This section presents a collection of AHP/ANP papers. Whether you are a student, academic and/or professional in the field of decision making, you can help us expand this collection by sharing your papers on decision making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP).

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Paper results for author: Lei Zhang

The Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction

Thomas Saaty, Lei Zhang
Journal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making
There are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...

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